A renewed round of severe weather is expected to take aim at the Plains late this week, bringing the potential for large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. After a brief lull, atmospheric conditions are once again becoming favorable for strong to severe storms as warm, moist air surges northward and clashes with an incoming system. The Storm Prediction Center is already highlighting an area of potential severe weather forming along this dryline starting Wednesday and Thursday. This setup is expected to create instability across parts of the central U.S., particularly from Texas through Oklahoma and into Kansas.
The risk for Wednesday will be a marginal threat. There is a window of a few hours during which storms will be possible.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk of severe weather on Thursday. The forecast suggests that these storms will fire up around 6 p.m. and extend into the evening. The greatest threats on Thursday will include very large hail and powerful wind gusts, but tornado development is also a concern, especially in areas where storms can remain isolated and intensify. The timing of these storms could stretch from late week into the weekend, with multiple rounds possible as the system slowly moves across the region.
Within that risk, there is a highlighted threat for a few tornadoes. The hatched area has the potential for stronger tornadoes, an EF2 in strength or stronger.
Heavy rainfall may also accompany these storms, raising the risk of localized flooding in some areas already dealing with saturated ground. Residents across the Plains are being urged to stay weather-aware and have multiple ways to receive warnings, as conditions can change quickly during severe weather outbreaks.
Tune into WeatherNation for more details.